Evident Research

The Hidden Cost Explosion

AI is exploding the volume of security findings and fixes. But every one still has to become proof: reviewed, approved, evidenced, and defensible to customers, suppliers, auditors, regulators, and insurers. The security back office was never built to scale manually at this speed.

2022202320242025202620272028
2022 baseline3.4x admin burden by 20284 proof channels
Findings to triage5.4x
Supplier and customer proof2.3x
Regulatory evidence work2.4x
Insurance evidence work2.0x
interactive dataset

See why security admin work is compounding.

evidence behind the model
263%

CVE submission growth

NIST reported CVE submissions increased 263% from 2020 to 2025.
37.4h

vendor assessment work each week

Whistic 2025 TPRM survey: average weekly vendor-assessment work.
84%

initial assessments needing follow-up

Whistic 2025 TPRM survey: initial supplier assessments requiring follow-up.
24/72h

reporting clocks

NIS2 and Cyber Resilience Act reporting sequences include 24-hour early warning and 72-hour notification windows.
view

Insurance creates a proof surface, not just a premium line.

Market data shows premiums and claims. The admin burden sits in control evidence, renewal packs, representations, and proof-of-loss readiness.

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Insurance pressure is not just premium movement.

The useful signal is divergence: visible premium softened in 2024, while claims and control-evidence scrutiny kept the proof burden active.

$9.14B

US cyber direct written premium in 2024

NAIC aggregate including alien surplus lines.

nearly 50,000

reported claims in 2024

NAIC described claims as up almost 40% year over year.

4.37M

policies in force

Reported for U.S.-domiciled insurers.

Pricing softened, but claim activity and insurer-facing control evidence still create administrative work.

Insurance market metrics are not direct enterprise labor measurements.

drilldown

How to read this exhibit

The exhibit separates visible insurance market metrics from the proof work they can create.

  • Premium is the visible market price.
  • Claims and policies show exposure and activity.
  • The hidden work is control evidence, renewal evidence, representations, and proof-of-loss readiness.
one level above compliance

Optimization target: economic impact, not just passing proof.

Evident's trust graph should not stop when proof exists. It should ask whether proof was rejected, whether an incident created real cost, whether admin cost missed its target, and where reusable evidence can reduce the next cycle.

triggerobligationworkproofeconomic impact
evidence sources

Sources behind the public numbers.

Public claims stay attached to the reports, regulator materials, and standards references used for the figures and clocks above.

PublisherSourceUsed for
AI Incident DatabaseAI Incident Database Snapshotspublic-number evidence
CISAKnown Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalogpublic-number evidence
Cloud Security AllianceSTAR Level 1 Security Questionnaire CAIQ v4public-number evidence
CVE ProgramCVE List V5public-number evidence
European CommissionCyber Resilience Act Reporting Obligationspublic-number evidence
European UnionDigital Operational Resilience Actpublic-number evidence
European UnionNIS2 Directivepublic-number evidence
FIRSTEPSS Current Scorespublic-number evidence
HHS OCRBreach Portal Notice to the Secretary of HHS Breach of Unsecured Protected Health Informationpublic-number evidence
MITRECWE Listpublic-number evidence
MITREMITRE ATLAS Datapublic-number evidence
NAICCyber Insurance Reportpublic-number evidence
NAICReport on the Cybersecurity Insurance Marketpublic-number evidence
NISTNVD CVE API 2.0public-number evidence
OMB/OIRAOMB/OIRA Paperwork Burden Inventorypublic-number evidence
OWASP FoundationOWASP Top 10 for LLM Applicationspublic-number evidence
SECCybersecurity Risk Management, Strategy, Governance, and Incident Disclosurepublic-number evidence
Shared AssessmentsWhat's New in the 2025 SIG Updatepublic-number evidence
WhisticThird-Party Risk Management 2025 Impact Reportpublic-number evidence